RLM Properties Real Estate Blog

August 15th, 2010 7:27 AM

It has been over 1 1/2 years since I have posted. We have been extremely busy with REO sales and short sales as we work thru this inventory of foreclosures. The question is are we at the bottom or near a bottom? I have heard it said those that live by the crystal ball eat glass, If you read my previous blogs I would have guessed we would be in a little better position than where we are today in the real estate market. We have seen strong sales over the last 18 months and buyers are getting great deals on homes from as low as $50 a sq foot on some newer construction homes in Port St Lucie and the Treasure Coast. We have seen values drop approx 60 - 70% since the fall out in 2006. With interest rates at record lows of around 4.375% and values at an average of 105,000 buying is getting to be a better option that renting if you can get qualified and plan to stay in the house 5 years or more. To get qualified in todays market is not as hard as some believe but there are many hoops to jump thru and you need to have your ducks in a row to get a loan, if you have the right loan officer this is easily navigated. What is on the horizon you ask? With over 50% of the home owners in St Lucie County that owe more than what their house is worth (The country average is about 1/3 of home owners owe more than the house is worth) we have many years ahead before we see an appreciation. We may even see a 5-10% decrease before we see a leveling and then a flat period. If and when the economy gets back on track we will see the 3-5% typical appreciation on home prices annually. The banks are holding inventory back at the moment as buyers have dropped off after the tax credit expired which is good idea as we do not need a flood of inventory on the market as it would push prices down even lower. If you plan to buy a house and live in it for 5 plus years it is great time with low interest rates, if you need to sell in the next few years it is best to rent. If you need to sell your current home you are up against the Foreclosures on the market that are prices very aggressive so be patient it may take 6 - 8 months to sell at a more retail price. If you do owe more than your house is worth and need to sell as a Short Sale call us and we will evaluate your situation as Short sales are no easy task but with advice of your attorney and accountant we can help you navigate the transaction. If you do not have an attorney we can put you in touch with a local attorney that specializes in Short Sales. Here is a table of the real estate market since last year, if you have any questions at all please give us a call!

 

Date 5/09 6/09 7/09 8/09 9/09 10/09 11/09 12/09 1/10 2/10 3/10 4/10 5/10 6/10 7/10
For Sale 3388 3410 3323 3227 3238 3240 3180 3008 3002 3054 2930 2936 2895 2903 2902
New Listing 582 684 714 643 663 688 603 498 607 655 596 658 552 614 567
Sold 378 455 431 404 437 445 435 442 337 349 456 472 397 429 318
Pended 420 439 445 435 460 445 409 394 362 409 501 414 388 370 281
Months of Inventory (Closed Sales) 9 7.5 7.7 8 7.4 7.3 7.3 6.8 8.9 8.8 6.4 6.2 7.3 6.8 9.1
Months of Inventory (Pended Sales) 8.1 7.8 7.5 7.4 7 7.3 7.8 7.6 8.3 7.5 5.8 7.1 7.5 7.8 10.3
Absorption Rate (Closed Sales) % 11.2 13.3 13 12.5 13.5 13.7 13.7 14.7 11.2 11.4 15.6 16.1 13.7 14.8 11
Absorption Rate (Pended Sales) % 12.4 12.9 13.4 13.5 14.2 13.7 12.9 13.1 12.1 13.4 17.1 14.1 13.4 12.7 9.7
Avg. Active Price 192 190 187 185 181 180 177 179 178 176 178 176 174 168 166
Avg. Sold Price 108 109 116 107 105 116 113 106 99 103 112 113 122 106 106
Avg. Sq. Ft. Price 61 62 65 60 60 63 63 60 57 60 63 64 68 61 61
Sold/List Diff. % 95 95 95 97 96 96 97 94 96 95 94 95 94 95 96
Sold/Orig LP Diff. % 84 82 85 88 88 87 89 88 87 88 86 88 84 88 88
Days on Market 94 107 94 88 88 101 99 93 97 98 95 109 118 104 97
Median 99 100 105 105 100 105 100 97 93 89 100 102 105 98 96

Posted by Roger Moore on August 15th, 2010 7:27 AMPost a Comment (1)

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